APPLICATIONS
Cray Sales Drop 27% in 3Q06
Company Anticipates Profitable 2007: Cray Inc. announced financial results for the third quarter and nine months ended September 30, 2006. Total revenue for the third quarter was $32.6 million compared to $44.7 million in the same period of the prior year. Net loss for the quarter improved year-over-year to ($8.3 million) or ($0.37) per share compared to ($10.3 million) or ($0.46) per share in the third quarter of 2005.
Cray reported total gross margin of 35 percent for the third quarter of 2006, a strong improvement compared to 18 percent in the prior year period. Product margin improved significantly year-over-year to 27 percent from 13 percent in the prior year quarter. Driven by strong maintenance contribution, service margin improved to 46 percent from 34 percent in the prior year quarter.
Research and development (R&D) and selling and marketing, general and administrative (SG&A) expenses in the third quarter were $18.8 million compared to $15.9 million in the third quarter of 2005. As anticipated, R&D expense increased in the third quarter due to the delay of a potential development contract.
Third quarter loss from operations was ($7.4 million) compared to ($8.9 million) in the prior year period. Included in the third quarter 2006 loss from operations were non-cash items of $0.5 million related to stock compensation and $3.9 million for depreciation and amortization.
For the nine-month period ended September 30, 2006, Cray reported total revenue of $119.6 million compared to $135.8 million reported in the first nine months of 2005. Net loss for the first nine months of 2006 was ($20.8 million), or ($0.93) per share. Net loss for the comparable nine-month period in 2005 was ($55.1 million), or ($2.49) per share. For the nine months ended September 30, 2006, gross margin improved to 32 percent compared to 12 percent for the first nine months of 2005.
Cash and cash equivalents as of September 30, 2006 improved modestly to $44.2 million, compared to $43.4 million reported as of June 30, 2006. To date, the Company has not drawn upon the credit facility established in the second quarter of 2005.
"The second and third quarters represented one of the best product bookings periods in our Company's history and an important step toward accomplishing some of our key goals," said Peter Ungaro, president and CEO of Cray. "Combined with considerable gross margin improvements, reduced operating expenses and a continued focus on innovation and execution, we are on track to improve our 2006 operating results from top to bottom. We continue to drive toward our goal of a profitable 2007."
Outlook
Cray currently expects 2006 revenue to be in the range of $220 million, and at this level, the Company anticipates profitability in the fourth quarter. However, this estimate includes about $40 million of revenue expected in the fourth quarter for which there is a reasonable possibility that some or all could be recognized in the first quarter of 2007 due to customer acceptance timing. If this were to occur it would result in lower 2006 revenue and gross margin, and higher than anticipated revenue in the first quarter and full-year of 2007. The Company anticipates total gross margin for the fourth quarter to be lower than the third quarter primarily due to a large, low margin product contract. Combined R&D and SG&A expenses for the fourth quarter of 2006 should be lower than the third quarter, although, if the Company does not receive a Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (DARPA) Phase III award, or the timing is delayed, expenses would be higher than third quarter levels. The Company may use cash in the fourth quarter, largely to support working capital requirements necessary to fulfill customer contract wins.
Cray anticipates profitability in 2007, with moderate to strong overall revenue growth driven by increased product sales, offset in part by a significant reduction in low-margin development-related revenue. The Company expects research and development co-funding to be recorded primarily as an offset to R&D expense going forward. The DARPA Phase II and Red Storm projects contributed approximately $22 million of revenue in 2005 and are expected to contribute just over $20 million of revenue in 2006, all at gross margins of less than 10 percent. In 2007, the Company expects to recognize less than $1 million of revenue related to development projects.
For the year 2007 Cray targets total revenue of $230 to $260 million -- this assumes 2006 revenue in the range of $220 million and is dependent upon the successful introduction of three new products over the next 12 months (code-named: Hood, Eldorado and BlackWidow). Due in part to the timing of product introductions, the first quarter is expected to be the weakest quarter of 2007 and will likely be unprofitable. The Company expects improved gross margins for 2007 and anticipates R&D and SG&A expenses to be modestly higher than 2006. Within the target revenue range, the Company anticipates 2007 operating income in the range of 3 to 7 percent of revenue, including about $3 million of anticipated non-cash stock compensation expense. Assuming target profitability for the year, the Company anticipates a diluted share count of roughly 24 million shares at year-end, excluding shares issuable in the Company's proposed public offering of common stock -- quarterly share counts will vary with operational results and are subject to many variables. Due to the size of large contracts and the difficulty in predicting the timing of customer acceptances and three planned product introductions, quarterly results are likely to fluctuate significantly and there remains a wide range of potential revenue and operating results for 2007.
DARPA HPCS Update
In the second quarter of 2006, Cray submitted a proposal to participate in the third phase of the DARPA High Productivity Computing Systems (HPCS) initiative. Phase III participants may receive up to $250 million of research and development co-funding through 2010 with the goal of enabling a breakthrough in the capability of the next generation of supercomputers, providing for sustained petaflops (1,000 trillion floating point operations per second) levels of performance on real applications and dramatically improving user productivity. If Cray is not an award recipient, or the contract is delayed, R&D expenses will be higher, adversely affecting cash flows and anticipated operating results in the fourth quarter of 2006 and in 2007. The Company currently expects DARPA to announce Phase III award winners by the end of 2006.
Recent Highlights
-- In October, Cray announced that CSC Finland, the Finnish IT center for
science, will acquire a 70 teraflops (trillion floating point operations
per second) Cray supercomputer code-named Hood - the successor to the Cray
XT3™ system. The Hood system will support CSC's high performance computing
users doing research in areas such as physics, chemistry, nanotechnology,
linguistics, bioscience, applied mathematics and engineering. The system
will be installed in stages beginning in 2006 and continuing through 2008.
-- In July, Cray announced a $52 million contract with the Department of
Energy's National Energy Research Scientific Computing Center (NERSC) to
deliver a 100 teraflops Hood system. Completion of the installation is
anticipated in the first half of 2007, with acceptance anticipated in mid-
2007. NERSC is one of the largest facilities in the world devoted to
providing computational resources and expertise for unclassified basic
research.
-- In June, Cray announced a $200 million multi-year contract with the
Department of Energy's Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL). Initial
deliveries are scheduled in 2006, with a planned upgrade in late 2007 or
early 2008, culminating in a petaflops system to be installed in late 2008
or early 2009. The ORNL system will be based on the Cray XT3, Hood and
future generation Cray supercomputers and will utilize current and future
versions of the AMD Opteron™ processor.
-- In June, Cray announced that the UK's Engineering and Physical
Sciences Research Council selected Cray as the preferred bidder to provide
the computing hardware for the Council's next generation national high
performance computing service for the UK academic community. This multi-
phase project is expected to operate for up to six years and to have an
initial theoretical peak capability of over 50 teraflops, with customer
options for additional capability in the future. Contract negotiations are
ongoing and are not expected to be complete prior to the first quarter of
2007.
-- On September 29, 2006, Cray filed a registration statement with the
Securities and Exchange Commission with respect to a proposed underwritten
public offering of common stock. The Company expects to use the proceeds to
fund working capital and for general corporate purposes, including product
development and capital expenditures.
-- On November 1, 2006, Judge Michael S. Spearman of the Superior Court
of the State of Washington for King County approved the dismissal without
prejudice of the derivative action filed in that court against certain
current and former directors and officers of Cray. This dismissal ends all
the litigation involving Cray and its current and former directors and
officers that began in May 2005.