UTS researcher Fatahi develops an ML technique that applies the Goldilocks principle to reduce potholes

Illustration of roller–soil interaction and mechanisms involved.  CREDIT Image: Behzad FatahiResearchers have developed new “intelligent compaction” technology, which integrates into a road roller and can assess in real-time the quality of road base compaction. Improved road construction can reduce potholes and maintenance costs, and lead to safer, more resilient roads.

Months of heavy rain and floods have highlighted the importance of road quality, with poor construction leading to potholes and road subsidence. This not only causes tire blowouts and structural damage to cars and trucks but also increases the chance of serious accidents.

The innovative machine-learning technique, which processes data from a sensor attached to a construction roller, was developed by a research team from the University of Technology Sydney. The study was led by Associate Professor Behzad Fatahi, head of geotechnical and transport engineering, together with Professor Hadi Kahbbaz, Dr. Di Wu, and Ph.D. student Zhengheng Xu.

“We have developed an advanced computer model that incorporates machine learning and big data from construction sites to predict the stiffness of compacted soil with a high degree of accuracy in a fraction of a second, so roller operators can make adjustments,” said Associate Professor Fatahi.

Roads are made up of three or more layers, which are rolled and compacted. The subgrade layer is usually soil, followed by natural materials such as crushed rock, and then asphalt or concrete on top. The variable nature of soil and moisture conditions can result in under or over-compacted material.

“Like Goldilocks, the compaction needs to be ‘just right to provide the correct structural integrity and strength. Over-compaction can break down the material and change its composition, and under-compaction can lead to uneven settlement,” said Associate Professor Fatahi.

“A well-compacted multi-layer road base provides a stable foundation and increases the capacity of a road to bear heavy loads. Trucks can weigh up to 40 tonnes, so a poor quality base can quickly lead to cracks and weak spots in the asphalt surface.”

The research, recently published in the academic journal Engineering Structuressuggests the application of this technology could help build longer-lasting roads that can better withstand severe weather conditions.

The team is now looking to test the new technology onsite for various ground and roller conditions for road, railway and dam construction projects, and explore techniques to measure the density and moisture content of the compacted soil in real time during construction.

CNRS researcher Pierron's supercomputer-simulated genetic data shows human expansion 1,000 years ago linked to Madagascar’s loss of large vertebrates

Current anthropized landscape of Madagascar  CREDIT MAGE ConsortiumThe island of Madagascar—one of the last large land masses colonized by humans—sits about 250 miles (400 kilometers) off the coast of East Africa. While it’s still regarded as a place of unique biodiversity, Madagascar long ago lost all its large-bodied vertebrates, including giant lemurs, elephant birds, turtles, and hippopotami. A human genetic study reported in the journal Current Biology on November 4 links these losses in time with the first major expansion of humans on the island, around 1,000 years ago.

“This human demographic expansion was simultaneous with a cultural and ecological transition on the island,” says Denis Pierron, French National Centre for Scientific Research (CNRS) researcher in Toulouse, France. “Around the same period, cities appeared in Madagascar and all the vertebrates of more than 10 kilograms disappeared.”

The origins of humans in Madagascar have long been an enigma, Pierron explained. Madagascar is home to 25 million people who speak an Asian language despite the island’s proximity to East Africa. Other groups who speak similar languages live more than 4,000 miles away. The people that live in Madagascar are known to trace their roots back to two small populations: one Bantu-speaking from Africa and another Austronesian-speaking from Asia. But, beyond that, the history remained rather murky.

To retrace the history and understand more about the origin of the Malagasy people, a multi-disciplinary consortium launched 2007 a project known as Madagascar Genetic and Ethnolinguistic (MAGE). Over 10 years, Malagasy and international researchers visited more than 250 villages across the country to sample the cultural and genetic human diversity.

In the new study, Pierron and his colleagues took a close look at the human genetic evidence. More specifically, they closely studied how various segments of human chromosomes were shared with local ancestry information and supercomputer-simulated genetic data. Together, they’ve inferred that the Malagasy ancestral Asian population was isolated on the island for more than 1,000 years with an effective population size of just a few hundred individuals.

Their isolation ended about 1,000 years ago when a small group of Bantu-speaking African people came to Madagascar. Afterward, the population continued to expand rapidly over generations. The growing human population led to extensive changes to the Madagascar landscape and the loss of all large-bodied vertebrates that once lived there, they suggest.

The findings have important implications that may now be applied to studies of other human populations. For instance, it shows it’s possible to untangle the demographic history of ancient populations even well after two or more groups have mixed, by using genetic data and supercomputer simulations to test the likelihood of different scenarios. The findings also offer new insights into how past changes in human populations led to changes in whole ecosystems.

“Our study supports the theory that it was not directly the arrival of humans on the island that caused the disappearance of the megafauna, but rather a change in lifestyle that caused both a human population expansion and a reduction in biodiversity in Madagascar,” Pierron says.

While these efforts have led to a much better understanding of Madagascar’s history, many intriguing questions remain. For instance, Pierron asks, “If the ancestral Asian population was isolated for more than a millennium before mixing with the African population, where was this population? Already in Madagascar or in Asia? Why did the Asian population isolate itself over 2,000 years ago? Around 1,000 years ago, what triggered the observed cultural and demographic transition?” 

Prof Koyama offers insights into gravity on cosmological scales

a) The implicit correlation prior, as a function of redshift, induced by using the cubic spline to connect the 11 redshift nodes. All three functions, ΩX, µ and Σ, are subject to the same implicit prior, with no cross-correlation between different functions. b) The Horndeski prior correlating the nodes of ΩX, µ and Σ. The correlation between the nodes of each function is much stronger than that introduced by the cubic spline. The Horndeski prior also introduces a strong correlation between µ and Σ. c) The correlation obtained from our “Baseline” data posterior covariance of the nodes, i.e. that determined by the data and the implicit prior correlation in Panel (a). d) The correlation corresponding to the posterior covariance derived from the Baseline data with the help of the Horndeski prior in Panel (b).Scientists from around the world have reconstructed the laws of gravity, to help get a more precise picture of the Universe and its constitution.

The standard model of cosmology is based on General Relativity, which describes gravity as the curving or warping of space and time. While the Einstein equations have been proven to work very well in our solar system, they had not been observationally confirmed to work over the entire Universe.

An international team of cosmologists, including scientists from the University of Portsmouth in England, has now been able to test Einstein's theory of gravity in the outer reaches of space.

They did this by examining new observational data from space and ground-based telescopes that measure the expansion of the Universe, as well as the shapes and the distribution of distant galaxies.

The study, published in Nature Astronomy, explored whether modifying General Relativity could help resolve some of the open problems faced by the standard model of cosmology. 

Professor Kazuya Koyama, from the Institute of Cosmology and Gravitation at the University of Portsmouth, said: “We know the expansion of the universe is accelerating, but for Einstein’s theory to work we need this mysterious cosmological constant.

“Different measurements of the rate of cosmic expansion give us different answers, also known as the Hubble tension. To try and combat this, we altered the relationship between matter and spacetime and studied how well we can constrain deviations from the prediction of General Relativity. The results were promising, but we’re still a long way off a solution.”

An earlier version of the code used in this work, MGCosmoMC, is publicly available on GitHub. 

Possible modifications to the General Relativity equation are encased in three phenomenological functions describing the expansion of the Universe, the effects of gravity on light, and the effects on matter. Using a statistical method known as the Bayesian inference, the team reconstructed the three functions simultaneously for the first time.

“Partial reconstructions of these functions have been done in the last 5 to 10 years, but we didn't have enough data to accurately reconstruct all three at the same time”, added Professor Koyama.

“What we found was that current observations are getting good enough to get a limit on deviations from General Relativity. But at the same time, we find it very difficult to solve this problem we have in the standard model even by extending our theory of gravity.

“One exciting prospect is that in a few years we’ll have a lot more data from new probes. This means that we will be able to continue improving the limits on modifications to General Relativity using these statistical methods.”

Up-and-coming missions will deliver a highly accurate 3D map of the clustered matter in the Universe, which cosmologists call large-scale structure. These will offer an unprecedented insight into gravity at large distances.

Professor Levon Pogosian, from Simon Fraser University in Canada, said: “As the era of precision cosmology is unfolding, we are on the brink of learning about gravity on cosmological scales with high precision. Current data already draws an interesting picture, which, if confirmed with higher constraining power, could pave the way to resolving some of the open challenges in cosmology.”

Intel reports sharp sales drop, more bad news ahead

Intel has reported a 20% decline in the third quarter sales to $15.3 billion, and a shocking 85% decline in profit to $1 billion for the quarter. In the previous quarter, Intel’s revenue declined by 22%.

The chipmaker also lowered its annual revenue guidance for the second time this year to $63 billion, down from the $65 billion-$68 billion it expected at the end of last quarter, which was lower than the original revenue guidance of $76 billion.

The company's data center chips declined by 27% during the quarter to $4.21 billion.

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Intel plans up to $10 billion in cost reductions and efficiency improvements in the next three years.

“We are planning for the economic uncertainty to persist into 2023,” declared Pat Gelsinger, Intel CEO on a teleconference. “Inclusive in our efforts will be steps to optimize our headcount. These are difficult decisions affecting our loyal Intel family.”

“Despite the worsening economic conditions, we delivered solid results and made significant progress with our product and process execution during the quarter,” said Gelsinger. “To position ourselves for this business cycle, we are aggressively addressing costs and driving efficiencies across the business to accelerate our IDM 2.0 flywheel for the digital future.”

“As we usher in the next phase of IDM 2.0, we are focused on embracing an internal foundry model to allow our manufacturing group and business units to be more agile, make better decisions and establish a leadership cost structure,” said David Zinsner, Intel CFO. “We remain committed to the strategy and long-term financial model communicated at our Investor Meeting.”

 

Japanese prof Ishimoto predicts where the wear will occur in engines

183 computationally predicting where wear will occur t a6791A research group has created an analysis method to predict wear and seizure locations in the sliding parts of engine piston pins. The breakthrough will help limit wear and tear on transportation and industrial machinery components and make them more fuel efficient.

Improvements to the efficiency of internal combustion engines are necessary if we are to overcome their environmental and sustainability problems. Reciprocating engines use reciprocating pistons to extract power from combustion and convert it into rotational motion. They are commonly used in automobiles.

The most common cause of reciprocating engine failure occurs when the oil film of the lubricating oil breaks, causing metal parts to come into contact, resulting in scratching and sticking. When such a seizure happens, it is impossible to start the engine. A fluid lubrication calculation model between piston pin and connecting rod. ©Jun Ishimoto

Piston pins and connecting rods in constant reciprocating and rotating motion require fluid lubrication. However, long-term loading tests are needed to verify the wear and seizure locations in fluid lubrication and predicting or calculating this was thought to be unattainable.

That was until Professor Jun Ishimoto led a group at Tohoku University's Institute of Fluid Science and Honda Motor Co., Ltd. that established the multiphase fluid-structure coupled analysis method. It not only simulated and predicted tribological properties under severe loading conditions but also identified the piston pin's bow-like defamation as the cause of mechanical contact and seizure at the connecting rod edge.

"Proper safety guidelines that help prevent unnecessary damage to automobile engines and other industrial machinery will be easier to create thanks to this prediction method," said Ishimoto.The researchers succeed in computationally predicting the wear and seizure locations in sliding parts of engine piston pins. Results show the coupled 3D multiphase fluid-structure analyses, factoring in the elastic deformation of both the piston-pin and connecting rod, and also the thin-film cavitation lubrication with an unsteady flow channel variation. ©Jun Ishimoto